Propaganda for Kings

 Krishnadevaraya was a powerful king who ruled in Vijaynagara in modern Andhra Pradesh from 1509 to 1529. He ruled over a vast kingdom that included an area encompassing Bengal to Karnataka. 

Allasani Peddana was a great Telugu poet and fancied himself as 'Andhrakavitapitamaha' or the Creator of Telugu poetry. He was in Krishnadevaraya's court. 

We get disturbed by propaganda and exaggerated hero worship when we see it with political leaders. In te age of democracy and equality it seems so baffling. We treat mere men as Gods. This probably has a genesis in the way in a feudal society we treated our kings. They were arbiters of justice, commanders of the army, divine inheritors who lived in the fanciest of palaces. They also had poets eulogising them to the skies.

Peddana's classic 'The Story of Manu' begins with a encomiums to the glory and prowess of the king. Some of it will embarrass even our most praise-hungry modern leaders.

" For one rich in such qualities,

for an expert rider adept at handling any sort of horse,

for one who is quiet at heart,

whose brilliant fame turned all space white,

whose sword is like a snake filling its belly with the life breaths

of enemies trembling the darkness caused by dust

kicked up by his horses' hooves in one continuous charge,

for Karma reborn, a paragon of the art of giving,

for one who is loyal to good people,

for the lover of lady poetry,

for one whose fame rolls like waves to the end of space,

makes the sun redundant,

who captured the son of the Kalinga king 

in less than half a minute,

whose mind, with all its thoughts and words, rests at the feet

of Lord Venkatesvara, the ultimate source of kindness."   

Art and Human Beings

 

Art plays an important role in modern human societies. Mona Lisa's face may be amongst the most recognised faces in the world. The Dancing Girl of Mohenjo Daro ( pic above) is in one small piece brings a vivid representation of that civilisation for us. The Nataraja is the iconic distillation of the glory of Southern India.

The cave paintings in France and Spain (image below) show us how evolved humans were in art even in the ice age. Initially, the people refused to accept that it could be from that era. But as it was proved that the paintings of horses, bison and mammoths were done by the primitive people it became clear that even in basic, pre-historic conditions art came naturally to humans and it may have allowed them to connect to a superior state of being as it does now.

Through art, we can fuse reality and imagination in a way that can outlast us. It connects us to a cosmic sense of existence that makes our mundane lives more acceptable.

Modern education in India with its emphasis on STEM, science-based disciplines and almost complete discarding of art from the curricula, and including literature too; produces graduates bereft of a sense of grandeur and universal spirit. It does not help that the broader society at best engages with commercial movies as the highest form of art. There are hardly any patrons or even artists or literary figures that can infuse the spirit of art in society. All this adds to a mechanistic, transactional life. Time we addressed this.

China and India - Two tales

 China and India are two veritable giants in the world. Long history, ancient civilisations. Not to forget they are neighbours who are into skirmishes off and on. They fought a war in 1962. Another one was recently in 2020. China banned the last Indian reporter from being in the country this week. There is always an undercurrent of hostility between these two nations.

Two incidents are amongst the most defining in their history.

The first one is a glorious, inspiring one. In the 7th century, under the Tang dynasty, China had postal systems, road networks and a flourishing open culture. Since that time, Xuanzang is one of the most respected figures in Chinese history. In 629 AD, he crossed the Himalayas into India to learn more about Buddhism. He spent seventeen years travelling to Peshwar, Patna, Kanchi, Bodh Gaya, Bengal, Malwa and Gujarat amongst other places. He spent two years in monasteries in Kashmir trying to understand Buddhist philosophies. He also spent two years studying at the University in Nalanda.  Sixteen years after he had left, in 645 AD, he went back to China laden with books, statues and other cultural artefacts. He was considered wise and evolved. When he went back, he was given a rapturous welcome by the people and the emperor asked him to be his Prime Minister. He decided to continue as a monk. His influence triggered a great intermingling of Indian, Buddhist and Chinese cultures with hundreds of monks travelling across these countries. China became a centre of Buddhism too with Indian influences and two great civilisations drew from each other.

Another significant interaction between India and China was around opium almost 1000 years later.  East India Company had established itself in India in 1757 and over time it started smuggling opium from Bengal into China. This had its own bad effects. Opium addiction had grown tremendously in the population. Estimates put the number of addicts at 12 million and the annual trade of opium at 30,000 chests of 170 pounds each. 

To curb this menace, the emperor appointed a commissioner Lin Zexu. In 1839, he set about his task vigorously, arresting traders, seizing almost 1 million kilograms of opium and destroying it. The British then decided to attack the Chinese forces with an army from India consisting mostly of Indian sepoys. Eventually, the Chinese lost, conceding several important concessions including rights to Hong Kong. This has been always a sore wound in the Chinese mind.

Thus Buddhism and opium, both from India, in fact from the Eastern part of India, played a significant role in Chinese history and the relationship between these giants. 

Another Life

 More than seven years and the bug to reflect and write bites me again. A new world and it is a new world every five years. Post Covid, work from home has been normalised, more nationalist and right-wing politics, the rising influence of apps and the web and the emerging possibilities and threats of AI. China is clearly the second pole, climate change and decarbonisation are getting centre stage and in India a rising tide of Hinduisation of the society. A lot to chew on, amid this rapid pace of change in the world.

The Invasion of MOOCs

As it has happened in a succession of industries like music, travel and retailing; the internet is going to  disrupt the higher education market forever. The global market for higher education is estimated at $300 billion with 80 million students and around 3.5 million teaching and support staff. In the words of Clayton Christenssen, this market is  ‘ripe for a disruption’.  

My take in the link: http://www.iamwire.com/2013/10/technology-led-disruption-happen-higher-education/20779

The Twenty-first Century Workplace

The global workplace is changing fast. The new generation is becoming more progressive,more linked and more demanding with a radical change in priorities.What should the organisations strive for - my take in the blog for Great Place To Work® Institute - a global research and consulting firm. 




http://greatnessdiaries.com/2014/11/05/salil-k-sahu-managing-director-home-store-india/

Culture for Startups

In times of  stability, culture plays a vital role in the success of organizations. Most management studies have found ‘Culture’ to be amongst the four most important factors for success. Peter Drucker once said “Culture trumps strategy for breakfast.”Culture can make or mar startups but its importance is not adequately appreciated. 

Here is a link to an article I wrote on iamwire:http://www.iamwire.com/2013/08/leveraging-invisible-warrior/

Pricing in the Internet Era

Owing to the inherent low loyalty on the web, the ecom players are going to face a difficult battle amongst themselves on pricing. The brick and mortars of course face an existential battle over prices.Web commerce has disrupted pricing models - apps and price comparison sites ensure that how you price has become even more important. 

Here is a link to my article on iamwire on The Power of Pricing: http://www.iamwire.com/2013/07/the-all-powerful-pricing/

Micro Trends in the Indian Market

The markets are changing constantly and organisations can be on top only if they start working when the trends are just beginning - the article by me on iamwire looks at understanding the importance of trends early enough.

These embryonic trends start deep and create the structural disruptions that later end up as gigantic changes. For some these mega trends come as shocks that overturns their business models but it need not be so, if one starts identifying and working on the micro trends early in the cycle. My take in the link: 

                                                    http://www.iamwire.com/2013/05/of-markets-and-trends-start-early/

Seize the online Home Decor Market

The fragmented and unorganized Indian home décor market is rapidly becoming organized as consumers turn to chain stores and the web for purchases. The online industry has the power of the net to reach consumers throughout the country while eliminating the high operational costs of physical stores.
Here is a link for my article on the possible strategy for online Home Decor in India http://www.iamwire.com/2013/04/decoding-the-online-home-decor-market/

The perils for ecommerce in India

The ecommerce industry is seeing a repeat of the dynamics of the brick and mortar retail in India.in a fiercely competitive market, the e-commerce businesses will need to take a few lessons from the experience of offline retail in the last decade. Many lessons are inherent to a new industry but some of them are unique to the Indian market. They can ignore them only at their own peril.

Here is a link to my recent article in iamwire,a premier site for e commerce in India, which talks about what the industry can learn from offline retail.

  http://www.iamwire.com/2013/03/can-e-commerce-evade-the-hurdles-that-derailed-brick-and-mortar-retail/

Futile to Compare India with the West

India is a $1.4 trillion economy with a per capita income of $1000 odd. We tend to forget this when we crib about the facilities that the Government provides when we (read: a thin slice of the population with exposure to the West) compare our health facilities, roads, schools and welfare systems with those of Western countries like England, Germany, France and US. They are all $25000 odd or more per capita income economies. India is still way too behind.

Similarly, we fret and fume about the abysmal state of democratic institutions and the corrupt and squabbling politicians. But we are again comparing ourselves with countries which have a history of 200 to 300 years of democratic institutions and almost 100% literacy and single languages. India is still about 67% literate, has a maddening mix of cultures and languages with caste and religion thrown on top – a nightmare for governance.

It is good to be discontented and only this discontent will lead to progress but we need to accept the truth and realities too.

Anna's Movement

My post on Facebook on Anna on 23 Aug

Hi ! Can't support the movement because I think the method and the solution are wrong.

-Using Gandhian symbolisms like fasting,going to Rajghat,call for azaadi etc. for an action that is not Gandhian is manipulative.Gandhi fasted to repent or touch the conscience not to force.

- Right or wrong,good or bad,I as an ordinary citizen,have chosen MPs to frame laws - they are accountable to us. Anna's team does not hv the right to force an act on the rest.

-Dangerous precedent - signal to many that with a cause and some noisy support, they can armtwist.Too risky for a country with diverse agendas.

-Another body(an army of inspectors -Nilekeni) with such powers in India will be a worse version of legislature/judiciary/executive - corrupt & ineffective.Does not address fundmental issues of transparency,too much power with Govt etc.Cure worse than malady.

-Need to go to top experts for curing the cancer of corruption not quacks. All sensible voices who understand law,history and society etc. are apprehensive - people like Pratap Bhanu Mehta,newspaper editors,Harish Salve,Nilekeni and many more.

- The system is terribly rotten but need the right method and right solution (decentralisation,transparency etc) for lasting change.

Guilty Till Proved Innocent

Arushi Talwar’s case illustrates the abysmal level of public discourse in India.

The incompetence of almost all the institutions is the source. The wild proliferation of media, both TV and press, has positively worsened matters. The media picks up any insinuation and innuendo and has a tendency to make it a headline. The public laps it up.

In the Arushi murder case, the cops have done a thoroughly shoddy investigation, done u-turns on their conclusions, changed completely or selectively the reporting of key evidences. The trial court judgement flies in the face of common sense. The headlines in our media have picked up some incredible allegations and already pronounced the Talwars guilty. They have floated various theories around justifying the gory character of the Talwars.

In this environment, Open and Tehelka have done a yeoman service by publishing a different point of view. Their items are sensible, fact-based and coherent. It seems that anyone who studies the case closely believes that the Talwars are not guilty.

However, the bigger question is if the Talwars are not guility, who takes the responsibility for ruining their lives and in fact, they have suffered a punishment of unprecedented calumny and slander impossible for any human being to bear. Is it the CBI with its ineptness, the UP police with its crooked ways or the media with its only intent to sell? What punishment do they get?

Who is Surprised ? Corruption is Everywhere.

There is suddenly a lot of hullabaloo recently about corruption. It is as if a very honest society suddenly discovered that its ministers and politicians were corrupt and the civil servants and army were not completely above board.

On the contrary, it is obvious to anyone who has some understanding of the country that corruption permeates every aspect of life. The constable lets you off by taking fifty rupees, the provident fund clerks want money to disclose your own balance, the income tax officer takes money to release your returns and some schools want money under the table for a child’s admission. The engineers take money from the contractors, the doctors demand money from patients in government hospitals and the bank manager expects to be bribed for approving a loan. The more powerful bureaucrats and politicians dispense favours from their discretionary powers and plunder the state happily knowing that nothing is going to happen to them. They want free passes if you are holding events, premium plots if you are selling land and petty cash if you want their signature.

This is now part of the work fabric of the Indian officialdom. Barring honourable exceptions everyone knows this. This is an open secret. Yet in the public theatre of day to day life, this is discussed only when somebody is foolish enough to be exposed. In fact the ones who get caught are either stupid or too greedy. The savvy operators keep amassing wealth merrily and not leaving any evidence behind.

The much bandied amount of 1.76 lacs cr is only a notional figure. The money actually exchanged in the 2G saga may be chicken-feed compared to the systematic everyday loot by the various state players.

Record Diwali Sales

Diwali has been traditionally a time of splurging for Indian consumers and companies look forward to this period.Last two years were subdued with the cloud of Lehman hanging over.This year the sun sparkled like never before.Most businesses have had a bumper time.There have been unprecedented sales of consumer durables,gold,cars,apparel and even DTH connections.A DTH company executive,I spoke to,revealed that they had signed up 40% more connections over last year in one month.Value retailers like Vishal and premium appliances both have never had it so good.The article below from ET gives an idea of the buoyancy sweeping the market.

Diwali retail sales rocket to new highs, up almost 80%KOLKATA|NEW DELHI: Retailers, carmakers, jewellers and other consumer goods and services companies have reported highest Diwali season sales, as consumers went on a buying spree across the country except in Punjab, where floods dampened demand.

Companies reported year-on-year growth ranging from 20-80% this season and remain confident that the high demand will last, with consumer confidence expected to stay high on the back of rising incomes, positive economic forecasts, booming stock market, rising asset prices and a good monsoon.

“Diwali sales were the best ever,” said Rakesh Biyani, CEO-retail at Future Group , India’s largest retailer, which recorded more than 20% rise in footfalls and a more than 25% jump in average bill size. “Good times are here to stay,” he added.

Retailers reported about 25% jump in average bill size, as demand for premium products such as flat-panel televisions, double-door refrigerators, fully-automatic washing machines, home theatres, branded gold and diamond jewellery, fashion apparel, imported gifts and branded furniture soared with consumers upgrading their household items.

“The fear mindset of consumers has completely vanished. Consumers have splurged like there’s no end,” said Sanjay Gupta, marketing head of Spencer’s Retail, which reported a 20% jump in average bill size.

The auto industry sold about 50,000 cars during the Dhanteras-Diwali week, driving almost 4-5 times growth in sales.
Maruti Suzuki , which sells every second car in the country, drained its entire inventory to dealers during Diwali.
“We estimate that more than 15,000 Maruti cars were delivered on Dhanteras day alone across the country,” said Shashank Srivastava , chief general manager-marketing, Maruti Suzuki.

The company sold a record 1.08 lakh cars in the domestic market in October and expects sales to be even better in November. The maddening customer rush was also seen at two-wheeler showrooms across the country. Market leader Hero Honda’s all three factories have been working overtime to meet the unprecedented demand as sales in October rose 43% to cross five lakh units in a month for the first time.

A Hero Honda spokesman said sales were better than despatches. “Our retail sales have already crossed the 5,50,000 mark during the period between the first day of Navratras and Diwali,” he said. “The festive period is still on, and we hope to add more numbers to this tally in the next few days,” he added.

The mood in the market is so bullish that despite a 24% jump in gold prices since last Diwali, leading jewellers reported anywhere between 40-80% growth in sales this year. “Growth has come from the medium-value items to the high-value categories,” said Mehul Choksi, CMD of Gitanjali Gems that owns D’damas, Nakshatra, Gili and Sangini brands. He said the company’s sales were 70-80% more than last year. Gitanjali has reported sales of around Rs 450-500 crore this festive season.

Other leading jewellers like Orra and Tanishq also clocked 40-50% growth in sales. Orra CEO Vijay Jain said apart from necklaces and bangles, solitaire sales have gone up dramatically by over 60%. Solitaires are more than one carat diamonds and in the Rs 3.5-5 lakh price bracket.

At Orra, average bill size went up by 26%, while Tanishq saw it growing by over 20%. “We have seen growth happening across all categories, particularly in diamonds,” said Bhuwan Gaurav, marketing head at Tanishq.

Typically, the festive season accounts for 20% of the annual sales for jewellers. In consumer durables, Korean duo of LG and Samsung, which hold the lion’s share of the market, recorded more than 40% rise in festive sales. So did leading Indian brands such as Godrej and Videocon.

“Sales were highest in October this year. Even smaller towns showed high demand for some of the premium product categories,” said Ravinder Zutshi, deputy MD of Samsung India . Steep fall in prices helped a spike in demand for premium items such as LCD and Plasma TV, Blu-ray disc players, camcorders and home theatres.

YV Verma, chief operating officer of LG Electronics India , said the only dampener was Punjab, which recently faced an adverse economic situation due to the floods. Punjab is among the richer states in the country, with high consumer demand, particularly in the festive season. This year, floods affected demand in the state.

The direct-to-home (DTH) satellite television sector too increased its subscriber addition by almost one-third this Diwali season, mainly due to a fierce price war and aggressive marketing by all the six companies and partly helped by a boom in television sales.

With new DTH connections now costing less than Rs 1,000, some 14 lakh people took such connections in October, taking the total consumer base to three crore. “The sub-Rs 1,000 pricing led to breaking of psychological barriers for consumers,” said Salil Kapoor, COO at Dish TV , the market leader with some 8.8 million subscribers. In the first five days of November, the industry added another six lakh consumers.


(With inputs from Chanchal Pal Chauhan & Meenakshi Verma Ambwani)

Commonwealth Games 2010

CWG 2010 had its share of drama - bungled preparations,a redeeming opening,some excellent Indian performances and organised chaos that is typical of India.The media went from despair to euphoria and the usual target was Kalmadi.But 'Business Standard' possibly had the most balanced and objective take after the event.

Heads must roll

Games ended well, but all was not well. Business Standard / New Delhi October 18, 2010, 0:36 IST


India’s sportspersons have every reason to be proud of their performance at the 19th Commonwealth Games. While not too many world and Olympic records were broken, the impressive performance of Indian sportspersons, especially women, has done the nation proud. Kudos also to the organisers of the events and to Delhi police and security forces for their handling of security and traffic management. New Delhi was not the chaos many feared it would be. The opening and closing ceremonies were competently handled, even if the telecast was poor and the show failed to inspire, seeking merely to entertain. While the Games ended well, all was certainly not well with the organisation and those guilty of corruption, inefficiency and mismanagement should be punished. Prime Minister Manmohan Singh did well not to waste time instituting a high-level enquiry by former Comptroller and Auditor General V K Shunglu. This is welcome activism on the part of the prime minister. Hopefully, it signals a new style. Dr Singh has been far too retiring in his ways in the first year of his second term. The nation would welcome a more assertive prime minister and a more energetic government.

To facilitate a fair enquiry, the ministers and officials whose role may come under scrutiny should be asked to step down till the enquiry is over. To begin with, Suresh Kalmadi should be asked to step down from all his current positions, including from the Indian Olympic Association. Whistleblower protection should be ensured to enable those in the know to depose before the commission of enquiry. The roll call of punishment must begin with former Union sports minister Mani Shankar Aiyar. He should be made to give up his seat in Parliament for the ignominy he has heaped on his government, his party and the country. Next, Union ministers M S Gill and Jaipal Reddy should resign from their present positions. Mr Gill’s improprieties, a former chief election commissioner joining a political party and becoming a minister, are many. His unacceptable behaviour towards sportspersons and his incompetent leadership at the ministry are adequate reasons for his retirement from public life. Mr Reddy too failed to deliver at the ministry of urban development. Then come three government functionaries — the Lt Governor of Delhi, the Union cabinet secretary and the principal secretary to the prime minister. All three failed in providing leadership even after they were specifically asked to step in and stem the rot and get things going. Most of the last-mile issues could have been avoided if these worthies had been more competent and provided better leadership in the six months preceding the Games. As for Delhi Chief Minister Sheila Dikshit, the voters of Delhi will have to take a view at the appropriate time. She has argued that she was never empowered to be able to deliver. This is a fair defence. Delhi needs a clear line of command for it to function efficiently as a national Capital. The jury is out on her culpability. But all the other heads must roll.

The Crisis Knocking on Our Door

The Indian society is in a crisis – a deep and pervasive moral crisis. For a very religious country, where the average individual spends an hour in propitiating Gods or listening to assorted Gurus on good conduct, this would be funny if it were not so tragic.

The Indian society has three types of people. The bureaucratic, political and business establishment which indulges in unabashed loot of the exchequer and public resources is the first type. The second group is the self-absorbed who cocoon themselves in their own worlds and ignore everything outside .The last is the silent but frustrated sufferers -this is the group which may be seventy per cent of the population which bears the full brunt of exploitation and relative inequality widening away as the elite plunder or cynically manipulate rules and the law. This group lives on less than ten thousand rupees of monthly income for the household and in many cases does not have enough to eat or has very limited or no access to medical facilities or education. This group generates the Naxalites and the stone-throwers in Kashmir.

The corruption is not new but with the Government’s coffers being full from years of economic growth, the scale and the amounts being siphoned off are large. Land is another asset class which is up for grabs.

Pritish Nandy has written an impassioned piece about the psychological devastations that corruption can bring and Sudeshna Sen, in ET, writes about the prevalent social mood with acute insight.

A father who failed Pritish Nandy
14 September 2010, 10:51 AM IST

Parenthood is fascinating. You live through excitement, joy, guilt, worry, hope, concern in quick succession and before you know it your children have grown up into young adults who have a life of their own. That’s when you try to quietly assess how good you were as a father and whether you quite measured up to the standards your parents set.

We were a middle class family. My father taught in Hislop College, Nagpur and then moved to Kolkata. My mother wanted to support his meagre earnings and started teaching Bengali in La Martiniere. That’s how I studied there at a subsidised fee. Much of what I am today is what they taught me to be but it has taken me a long time to acknowledge it. Meanwhile, my father went away, where all fathers go, 32 years ago, strapped to a hospital bed in an unfamiliar city. It was a simple surgery but the doctor messed it up. I never got to say goodbye to him because he was in coma when I reached.

My mother, a fiercely independent woman, loved Kolkata and the tiny rented flat where she lived with my father. Circumstances forced her to come to Mumbai to become a reluctant member of my family. Though she died with her head on my lap at 92, I couldn’t say goodbye to her either because her mind had wandered away many years ago to where my father was. The doctor called it Alzheimer’s.

My children have grown up and though I never gave them enough time, I tried to pass on to them all I had learnt. I also taught them the little things I had picked up on the way: How to write, think, create, savour the joys of discovering new things every day and add them to your life. I taught them that habit is tiresome. Life is this great adventure where you experience different things every day. Some beautiful. Some dangerous. Some sad and disappointing. You learn from each. Their grounding was done by their mothers and, in one case, by my own mother. I only added the magic to it. Or so I would like to believe, like all fathers.

Parenthood was never a chore for me and I often argued with my wife because she thought so. After all, she washed the nappies. She saw them off to school. She helped with homework. She went to school concerts and she attended the parent teacher meets. She had good reason to complain. I had all the fun with them and, according to her, spoilt them silly. It was an unfair deal but life dealt it that way and we all went along. But now, after so many years, I feel I did it all wrong. Everything I taught my children has, in effect, handicapped them. It has made them inadequate to face the world they are in. Unfortunately I knew no better. But that does not absolve me from my sense of guilt.

Every day, as a new scam breaks out in sports, politics, business, healthcare, in the army or in education, I watch their disappointment. The nation I taught them to love, respect and defend as they would their own mother has become the biggest breeding ground for rogues, rascals, thieves and thugs. The cricket they were so passionate about is now run by betting syndicates. The city we once adored is now owned by builders, criminals, extortionists, and politicians who are often all three. My own achievements and awards look like an embarrassment today because most of these are now on sale. People we once looked down on for their lack of scruples are the new icons in a world where all art, music, sport, in fact all achievement is measured in terms of who earns how much, a fact that’s gleefully plastered across all media. And here, I brought up my children never to talk money because it’s in bad taste!

What we once shunned is now admired. What we once disapproved are now the ideals of a new society being built on the premise that whatever makes money is good. We are back to Gordon Gekko. He is the God we have rediscovered. Wealth is the new measure of a person’s place in society. Success is measured by earnings. India is rated by its GDP growth and how the stock market’s faring. This leaves behind 90% of Indians to fend for themselves in a world they were never trained to cope with. They can’t fudge marks to get into college. They can’t cheat people to get ahead on their jobs. They can’t fix deals to become rich and famous. They can’t even cope with the new morality because foolish, idealistic parents like you and I didn’t teach them what they needed to know to get by in today’s world. We have let them loose, with no survival skills, in a bazaar where everything’s up for sale, from mangroves to body parts. How do we blame our kids when they rebel against us?

Letters from London It’s broken society everywhere!
Sudeshna Sen Monday September 13, 2010, 09:49 AM

“ Madam yahan pe subko tension hai. Koi khush nahin hai,” my auto driver tells me voluntarily. A few weeks ago, when an old friend told me that Mumbai is gone down the drain, there’s too much anger and conflict, in a pub off Piccadilly, I put it down to the usual middle class whingeing.


Somehow, I’m beginning to believe him. Okay, so Mumbai ain’t India. I know that as well as Rahul Gandhi does. London ain’t Newcastle, either. However, it is held up as this shining example of the new, growing, wannabe global power that India wants to be, the story Indian corporates, politicians, dignitaries and I are always telling westerners. And okay, I’m here in the middle of the rains, everyone’s grumpy.


Still, as usual, it’s the cabbies and auto-wallahs who have their hand on the pulse of a place. I dunno what it’s like in Delhi or Bangalore, but if I had to identify a single strand that stands out on this visit, it’s that I see absolutely no sign, on the ground, among the rich or the poor or middle class of this alleged prosperity we write about. All I see is almost hysterical greed and ambition, frustration , and increasing polarisation between different sections of the population.


Everyone’s not just unhappy, they’re living in a state of permanent anger, angst and stress. The polarisation between the haves and have-nots is beginning to burst out of its seams. So this is anecdotal. But in just one week, I’ve heard of at least three cases of randomised violence and armed attacks in the streets of Mumbai, in broad daylight. And this used to be a place a woman could travel alone at midnight. I don’t have the crime statistics, but I bet they’re stratospheric.


There’s an epidemic of dengue, malaria, and god knows what else, diseases that were eradicated 20 years ago which is killing off both the rich and the poor without discrimination. Neither the public health authorities, nor the medical and healthcare system is able to cope in any way. More on that next time.


Customer services, something I always claimed was way better in India than in London, is deteriorating to, as someone told me, ‘third world levels like where you live’ . Take telecoms, an example we use globally to show off India’s homegrown business success. ‘India’s telecoms industry can show the world how to do business,’ we tell the world. Now, that bane of the developed world., “please hold on, your call is important to us” , that too in an American accent, has arrived here with a vengeance. I didn’t realise that there’s a shortage of people in India, so everything has to be automated to total incompetence.


The rip-off culture has arrived too. Whether its clothes, property, eating out, movies , or basics, the prices are off the wall, even by sterling standards. The value for money culture, which gave the world the concept of sachets, something we again tell western corporations to learn from us, has given way to outrageous pricing. After all somebody is willing to be ripped off to assuage their wannabe aspirations.


Kids, no wonder they keep killing themselves at exam time, are under inhuman pressure to compete, succeed, and then what? Live a life of even more stress.


In the business sector, I thought, people should be fine. After all, those delicious growth and profit rates, all those economic indicators. But no. Everyone I meet is frustrated to killing point, working 18-hour days, hating every minute of it, but unable to get off the corporate treadmill. Of being seen as ‘successful’ . In one era, we Indians had to struggle for basic survival. Now, everyone has to struggle even harder to live with alleged prosperity.


The worst thing is, nobody seems to care. When I ask these questions, it’s met with a shrug. The middle class has too many problems of its own to be bothered about the poor, the poor are getting angrier and desperate, the rich, as always, don’t care. For a while now, ‘feel-good’ has been the holy grail of media and establishment. It’s almost a national conspiracy, let’s ignore the warts and bad things, focus only on those glitzy nightclubs and idolise success. I live in a society at the other end of the rainbow, where success is looked on with deep suspicion. Where the perils of affluence have turned full circle and come back to bite those societies in the tail so badly, that David Cameron had to coin a concept for it. ‘Broken Britain,’ he called it. You can argue with him, but he’s right. British society is pretty much broken, socially and economically.


‘Broken society’ is the only word that comes to mind to describe what I see around me, already and not after half a century. Okay, inclusive growth is a buzzword, but most people think it happens somewhere to tribals in Orissa. It’s happening right here, in the mega-cities that are supposed to lead the charge that will make India a world superpower.


What, exactly, is the purpose of all this economic growth if people are going to die of primitive diseases, and struggle even harder than previous generations did to survive? No politician or government can fix it. They tried that option in Britain , and look where it got them. It’s high time we stopped blindly celebrating success, and paid attention to what’s happening to people’s lives, and our society.

Inflation and the Case for FDI in Retail

As the debate opens up again for FDI in retail, it is interesting to examine the contours of the issue.

As things go,only 51% investment is allowed in single brand retail and 100% is allowed in wholesale operations.Almost no one, not even the opponents of FDI have any argument against the economic benefits of FDI. The reasons are political. The ICRIER in its report had strongly and staunchly enunciated the benefits of FDI and the fact that it has had manageable adverse impacts in emerging countries. The reasons for opposition are political and it is good fodder for the press.

But the question is can any country manage without a large organized retail and can any emerging country do it without FDI?

The Government has woken up to the fact that inflation is a monster that can be tackled only by efficiency and productivity. With the world economy likely to remain vulnerable for some time, sustaining fiscal deficits is not the answer. The Indian interest rates are also high enough to make the economy uncompetitive. A key source of inflation in India is the wastages and inefficiencies between the farm and the fork.

The story of FDI in the world economy makes for some astonishing reading. The world annual GDP is around $67 tr and the total FDI in the world is $ 16 tr.USA has cumulative FDI of $ 2.3 tr and UK and France have more than $1 tr FDI. The FDI in China is close to 800bn and even Srilanka has $250bn. India’s cumulative aggregate FDI in all sectors is barely $150 bn and we keep raising enough hue and cry to ensure that each additional billion is fiercely resisted. The single brand FDI in retail till Sept 09 is barely $48mn.

The following extract from a GOI site mentions retail along with gambling and lottery where FDI is not allowed.

The extant policy does not permit FDI in the following cases:

i. Gambling and betting
ii. Lottery Business
iii. Atomic Energy
iv. Retail Trading
v. Agricultural or plantation activities of Agriculture (excluding Floriculture, Horticulture, Development of Seeds, Animal Husbandry, Pisiculture and Cultivation of Vegetables, Mushrooms etc., under controlled conditions and services related to agro and allied sectors) and Plantations (other than Tea Plantations)

For a 20% slice of the $450bn total retail market, we need to invest $15 to $20 bn and it is in the country’s interest to allow this for unleashing a cascading effect on the retail sector, inflation management and the economy.

Roots of Denial

In a recent discussion on TV after Mamata’s triumph in the municipal elections, the Trinamool spokesman Deerk O’Brien kept on saying to several points the CPM spokesman raised that the communist were living in denial. We see denial every time when seemingly intelligent people refuse to see the truth. The latest scientific studies suggest that denial has its origins in power play and emotions.

1. Most denialists deny anything that they cannot see. Their vested interest survive because of this denial. For example, the society has denied global warming (as long as it did not see it directly),keeps denying evolution and earlier denied harmful effects of smoking. These denials serve to perpetuate the old mindsets preserving established interests.

2. Most denials are based on emotions and anecdotal evidence. So there is no rational study or assessment of evidence but the mere occurrence of event is touted as causality. Human beings also tend to react to emotions and thus it is fertile ground to deny the truth if it happens to elicit the right emotions. We also tend to feel safe in the stability of regular thinking.

3. Most denialists also suffer from ‘paranoid personality disorders’ with anger, intolerance and a sense of disproportionate self-importance. Their distorted sense of reality brooks no opposition.
However denials in the face of evidence extract terrible prices. Bengal is a classic example where the party doctrines have not changed and a once proud and prosperous state has gone into serious decline blighting the lives of millions. The denial of the hazards of smoking destroyed millions of lives again. It was first proved in 1951 that smoking can cause cancer and only in the 1990s, it became part of the mainstream thought.